Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris: Analyzing the Performance of Key Swing States in the 2024 Presidential Election
Trump vs Harris: Key battleground states like Georgia and Pennsylvania are critical in deciding the 2024 U.S. presidential election outcome.
Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris: How Swing States Like Georgia and Pennsylvania are Shaping the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Outcome
As the battle for the 2024 U.S. presidential election heats up, the spotlight continues to shine brightly on Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, particularly in seven swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Because at one time or another these swing states have shifted from a Republican candidate to a Democratic candidate, they may be able to determine the outcome of the election.
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Swing States Update (9 PM ET)
Vote counts are steadily increasing, and this is making the fight between Trump and Harris in those swing states hold the fight tighter. The numbers and electoral counts from each state are highly monitored.
Georgia (16 Electoral Votes) 77% reported Donald Trump ahead of Kamala Harris by a 52 – 47 margin. Georgia has long been a Republican bastion, but it shook the nation in 2020 when it elected its first Democrat since 1992, Joe Biden. Voting has been enormous for this state in 2024, with more than five million expected votes, making this another highly contested one.
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North Carolina (16 Electoral Votes): A state that is always Republican-friendly, its 55% of counted votes show Trump with a small lead at 51% of the vote to Harris’s 48%. A conservative-heavy state like North Carolina has the race tightening to the same margins that Obama did in 2008.
Michigan (15 Electoral Votes): As of writing, with just 13% of the votes having been reported, Kamala Harris is leading Trump in Michigan, 53 percent to 45 percent. Michigan was one of those states that formed the long-standing Democratic “blue wall,” but it went Trump in 2016 only to return to Biden this year. Early returns suggest maybe Michigan will be for Harris but much of the vote remains left to be counted.
Pennsylvania (19 Electoral Votes): Pennsylvania, with 31% of votes reported, leads Kamala Harris by 5%. Often considered a bellwether, this state swung from Obama to Trump in 2016 and back to Biden in 2020. It’s an important state because it has a huge number of electoral votes.
Wisconsin (10 Electoral Votes): Harris is now ahead in Wisconsin 50% to 48% with 22% of the votes counted. Wisconsin, in some ways, has tracked the larger national pattern for the last few elections as it moved from Biden to Trump and then back again to Biden in 2020. The state still plays a razor-thin edge in how the final votes will sort out.
Arizona (11 Electoral Votes): Arizona has seesawed between Republican and Democratic control over the last twenty years, and Joe Biden won it in 2020, ending a very long streak of Republican dominance. The race is razor tight in Arizona, with early returns indicating that this could be a real showdown between Trump and Harris.
Nevada (6 Electoral Votes): It is inherently a Democratic-leaning state and supported Obama before voting for Biden in 2020. Since this is a relatively less significant number in electoral votes, a win here may not build much momentum for Harris’s overall electoral tally.
Swing States-Big Deal?
Altogether, the seven battleground states contain 93 electoral votes-more than enough to make a difference in the 2024 election. Historically, close contests in these states have determined the presidential election. For example, Florida’s decisive role in the 2000 election-the state’s 25 electoral votes determined the presidency-draws attention to swing states.
Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have been focusing their campaigns on these swing states, knowing that if they win a majority across all of them, it would seal their way to the White House. Fluid dynamics in each state, including local issues, voter turnout, and historical voting trends, will ensure that the race is unpredictable until the very end.
The swing states are in focus at the final days of the 2024 election. These are likely to be decisive states for the leadership of the United States for the next four years.
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